August 2012 national passenger car market analysis

Production in August …

In August domestic sales table …

August wholesale sale table …

2005-2012 passenger cars (car/MPV/SUV) monthly sales charts …

Special manufacturer of passenger car sales ranking (August domestic sales the aggregate figures).

Special manufacturer of passenger car sales ranking (August wholesale sales at home and abroad).

General manufacturer of passenger car sales ranking (August domestic sales the aggregate figures).

General manufacturer of passenger car sales ranking (August wholesale sales at home and abroad).

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August passenger car market review …

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         analysis with the Association last month agreed in August, automobile market significantly warmer. An additional important factor, was to sell energy-saving car capacity enhancement, sales increased. Due to dealer inventory this year, enterprises many of high temperature in early August, but companies cannot operate at full capacity after the holidays, August does not conversely increased the output of passenger cars, manufacturers continue to dealer inventory, so that the Terminal sales and exports in August is still less than wholesale, Distributor and manufacturers ‘ inventories are on the increase.。 Association analysis market Terminal sales because the Terminal sales data more accurately reflect market conditions, Terminal sales and the ongoing “treatment” low inventory had no effect on him, but in most countries of the world to analyze market data …

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September market estimate …

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         country has just under 4 freeway for the holidays are exempt from tolls, may make this year’s automobile market in the September fire gold weeks ago, would also dilute the negative effect of oil prices in September continued to rise. But when tens of millions of passenger cars in Expressway Toll Free, also plans to prevent or ease the traffic jam estimation was not ready.。 In September last year because of energy-saving car subsidies to exit, many people catch the last bus sales higher, subsidies this year sharply reduced the number of energy-saving vehicles sales in September may up only small increase …

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Amendments to China’s auto market forecast …

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         line chart of sales this year compared with last year, it was clear characteristics of peak load shifting, coupled with the economy will be worse than expected in the second half, had concluded that the August cumulative general highest in wholesale sales of passenger cars market growth this year. Owing to the high four months after last year’s sales, so the last 4 months after the cumulative growth rate for passenger vehicles monthly modest reduction, annual growth rate is about 7%.。 Spring Festival early this year, before the Chinese new year to spend in advance until the end of last year, increased sales in December last year. The Chinese new year in February, before the Spring Festival consumption won’t be brought forward to December of this year. Due to the low rate of sales in December rose, hiding sales by the end of the issue has largely disappeared, more optimistic estimates of commercial vehicles, some negative 5%, total vehicle wholesale sales forecast this year downward to 19.3 million units …

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Policy hinder market development of new energy vehicles …

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         in Guangzhou with the promotion of new energy vehicles, license plate-rolling, rocking, new energy vehicles for the first time on the cold, was constrained by policies, lack of infrastructure for new energy vehicles in Guangzhou. The policy which dictates: buyers of new energy vehicles in State subsidies on the basis of local government subsidies. If bought by private cars is produced in the field of new energy cars, local subsidies to local GDP contribution-free, place new energy car directory, local closures, even the BYD’s new energy vehicles enter Guangzhou.。 If no local get new energy car directory, also does not requirements local subsidies new energy car, each sold a vehicles new energy car, local Government to power sector subsidies two a charging pile of money, by power sector installed charging pile and earned electricity of money, charging pile investment can increases local of GDP, local government subsidies on has has enthusiasm, charging pile problem also on address has, new energy car of promotion speed only will speed up..

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The end of 2012, progress Sprint points for technical quality …

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         in Beijing at the end of this year to bring forward five emissions standards, if you won’t get into the Beijing market, although limited loss of market, but the brand will reduce. In announcing the 9th batch of energy-saving cars promotion directory (estimated at the beginning of next year), to the verification of the gradient using break-in fuel consumption test when adjusted coefficient, estimated fuel consumption to be reduced a three.。 Auto market growth next year is still low, competition will further intensify, but speeding up quality advances in technology will increase the cost of cars, so differentiation competition will replace the price war. Differentiated competition will increasingly improve car performance and stimulate the senses of the ever-changing electronic technology, it all depends on the business end of year Sprint results. Is my only way of catching up with the advanced technology in the world, also necessarily accelerate the differentiation of enterprise …

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Judgments about passenger car diesel …

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         recently published in the Shanghai Securities Journal of the rules is expected to be approved during the year to the passenger car diesel reported a cause for concern. Diesel passenger vehicles fuel 30% around, easy to implement the third phase of fuel limits.。 First half of vehicle emission standards in a foreign country, stop supply of substandard fuel. Some local refinery production of diesel with sulphur greater than 2000ppm, sulphur content of its more than 400 times higher than the Euro 4 standards, damage to the engines and PM2 … formation are very serious 5. Many private filling stations also sell the cheaper diesel. In the domestic low-grade diesel vehicle fault events each year has more than that poor quality diesel do not eradicate, is to import diesel, also there are serious threats to life and emissions of vehicles. So since Beijing does not give diesel passenger vehicle license plate …

         it has been said that gasoline and diesel demand structure of the turning point. But States to restrict passenger car development to beat speed, coupled with serious delays and passenger railway development priority in China, railway freight for many years growth rate is very low, very fast-growing automobile freight turnover each year, from 07.. 1 trillion tons-km, up to 5 this year.. 5 trillion ton kilometers, the serious imbalance between rail, road transport of goods. Energy consumption less than cars of the same cargo turnover of railway 30%, automotive alternative railway, resulting in 13 … 9% of heavy commercial vehicles, the consumption of 49.2% vehicle fuel, industrial diesel when you receive the “diesel shortage”! Visible reverse turning point appears. United States land cargo turnover less than half of our country, there are 28 … 40,000 km of railways, railway in China is only 9.30,000 km. If the annual production of 10,000 kilometres of railway land cargo transportation structure rationalization also requires more than 30 years. Gasoline and diesel demand structure of the turning point first has to wait 10 years. “Diesel shortage” and low-grade diesel sales, purchase of diesel passenger cars, subsidy of 5,000 yuan promotional role is small, thus promoting passenger car diesel too early …

August 2012 national passenger car market analysis

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